Dems’ Supermajority Chances Improve

Six Down, Three to Go

The AP Reports that Merkely (D) has unseated Smith (R) in Oregon for the Democrats sixth new U.S. Senate seat. That brings the democrats to 57 senate seats total with three races still undecided.

  • Minnesota Recount: Franken (D) has pulled even closer to Coleman (R) with only 438 votes between the two. That’s less than 0.1%. In Minnesota, there is an automatic recount if the difference is less than 0.5%, but Coleman had the audacity to suggest the recount should be foregone and he declared the winner. It will be a few weeks before Minnesota declares a winner.
  • Alaska Still Counting: Even though Stevens (R) leads Begich (D) by 3,533, there are still 55,000 absentee, early, and questioned votes still to be counted. It will be a few weeks until they’re done. Special note: analysts are puzzled by (A) how close the race is (polls showed Begich ahead by 6-8 points) and (B) the fact that Alaska’s turnout appears to be lower than in 2008 than 2004, despite the fact that there was a hotly contested senate race and Sarah Palin was on the national Republican ticket.
  • Georgia Run-off?: With 96% reporting, Chambliss (R) is sitting at 49.9%. If he stays under 50% plus one, there will be a run-off between Chambliss (R) and Martin (R) on Dec. 2. If Democrats win Minnesota and Alaska, expect the circus to come to Georgia for Thanksgiving.

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